Trump weighs Iran escalation as Tehran shows signs of progress in talks; Saudi reports attack

Brett McGurk is a CNN global affairs analyst who served in senior national security positions under Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Chances that the strait's traffic flow is normal by July 2027 plummeted to 47% from nearly 70% in the past two days.

Before President Donald Trump decided to launch a preventive war against Iran on February 28, the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow chokepoint through which roughly 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas flowed to international markets, wasn’t an issue.

Nearly five months after launching a sweeping campaign against Iran’s nuclear, missile, naval and proxy capabilities, the Trump administration is now fighting to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while negotiations have yet to produce a permanent settlement.